Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.021304 0.022910 0.024579 0.026446 0.028477 0.030620 0.033057
2026-01-11 0.018709 0.021030 0.023566 0.026552 0.029978 0.033796 0.038387
2026-01-18 0.016954 0.019688 0.022789 0.026581 0.031113 0.036377 0.042988
2026-01-25 0.015727 0.018749 0.022281 0.026740 0.032247 0.038870 0.047498
2026-02-01 0.014542 0.017720 0.021531 0.026469 0.032746 0.040520 0.050973
2026-02-08 0.013476 0.016737 0.020733 0.026034 0.032941 0.041723 0.053872
2026-02-15 0.012671 0.016011 0.020187 0.025844 0.033389 0.043217 0.057177
2026-02-22 0.011931 0.015312 0.019618 0.025565 0.033664 0.044455 0.060160
2026-03-01 0.011309 0.014726 0.019150 0.025372 0.034016 0.045777 0.063299
2026-03-08 0.010752 0.014191 0.018712 0.025180 0.034334 0.047040 0.066392
2026-03-15 0.010338 0.013822 0.018473 0.025236 0.034982 0.048777 0.070247
2026-03-22 0.009903 0.013399 0.018134 0.025122 0.035366 0.050132 0.073589
2026-03-29 0.009498 0.013015 0.017847 0.025097 0.035918 0.051823 0.077653
2026-04-05 0.009153 0.012699 0.017644 0.025183 0.036639 0.053812 0.082327
2026-04-12 0.008816 0.012377 0.017413 0.025208 0.037259 0.055668 0.086899
2026-04-19 0.008541 0.012130 0.017274 0.025357 0.038065 0.057845 0.092124
2026-04-26 0.008175 0.011730 0.016887 0.025102 0.038217 0.058977 0.095662
2026-05-03 0.007793 0.011289 0.016419 0.024693 0.038091 0.059641 0.098424
2026-05-10 0.007497 0.010964 0.016109 0.024514 0.038322 0.060890 0.102269
2026-05-17 0.007199 0.010623 0.015760 0.024251 0.038393 0.061864 0.105677
2026-05-24 0.006939 0.010331 0.015471 0.024070 0.038586 0.063045 0.109521
2026-05-31 0.006695 0.010052 0.015192 0.023889 0.038765 0.064203 0.113386
2026-06-07 0.006518 0.009872 0.015060 0.023942 0.039341 0.066080 0.118722